December 29, 2014

2015 Hall of Fame - Part III - Ballot Time

In my previous posts, I reviewed the former Red Sox on the ballot and my thoughts on them, as well as my thoughts on players of interest to Canadians.

The tl;dr version is I said I would vote for the following:

  • Jeff Bagwell
  • Randy Johnson
  • Edgar Martinez
  • Pedro Martinez
  • Fred McGriff
  • Tim Raines
  • Curt Schilling
  • Lee Smith
  • John Smoltz
  • Larry Walker
That's ten guys already, and I only looked at Red Sox, Jays, Expos and Canadian players.
I still need to assess the rest of the ballot which includes the following 17 players:
  • Rich Aurilia 
  • Craig Biggio
  • Barry Bonds 
  • Aaron Boone 
  • Jermaine Dye 
  • Darin Erstad 
  • Brian Giles 
  • Eddie Guardado 
  • Don Mattingly 
  • Mark McGwire 
  • Mike Mussina 
  • Troy Percival 
  • Mike Piazza 
  • Jason Schmidt 
  • Gary Sheffield 
  • Sammy Sosa 
  • Alan Trammell
Looking at each on an individual basis, Biggio, Bonds and Trammell get my vote.
Toughest omissions are Mussina (overall career looks good, but I never thought of him as one of the top pitchers or an ace while he was pitching) and Piazza (great offensive numbers for a catcher, but he was a really bad catcher. Would he be in as a first baseman? He's comparable to Carlos Delgado who nobody is voting for).

So my BBA ballot is complete with those 13 names.

Unfortunately, the BBWAA still limits voters to checking off 10 names on a ballot. Lee Smith, Alan Trammell and Fred McGriff need to be removed.  My final BBWAA style ballot:

Feel free to criticize, but only after reading my previous posts. It's not a perfect ballot, but scores an 86 using the TangoTiger scoring system where "anything at 85+ points will show you did a good job." I don't like the Hall's voting process, but am reasonably satisfied with my ballot.

If you are interested in reading more about the Hall of Fame, I can recommend  The Hall of Nearly Great which has some great stories about several players that are not in Cooperstown or the Bill James' classic The Politics of Glory which has great insight on the history of the Hall and voting and some excellent suggestions for fixing the current voting process.

As this is likely my last post of the year, I'm wishing all my readers a Happy New Year!

December 23, 2014

2015 Hall of Fame - Part II - Canadians

This is my second article where I unveil who I'm voting for on the 2015 Hall of Fame ballot. My last article dealt with Red Sox players.  This one looks at players of interest to Canadians. Either native players, or those who played north of the border. As I did last time, I'm looking at each player's merits on their own, without regard to the maximum 10 player limit. In my last post I will cut it back to just 10 and may remove some players who I had said I would be voting for.

Let me start with the players returning on the ballot. 

December 19, 2014

2015 Hall of Fame - Part I - Red Sox players

As mentioned previously, I will be posting my Hall of Fame ballot in three pieces. For each player, for now, I’m just giving a binary yes/no without regard to the 10 person limit per ballot. In my last post I will whittle it down to just 10 if there are more (there will be!). Today's column deals with former Red Sox players.
(By the way, this and all other columns will list players alphabetically)

Let me quickly start with players returning on the ballot.  They are:
Jeff Bagwell (54% last year)
Roger Clemens (35%)
Curt Schilling (29%)
Lee Smith (30%)

No need to rehash the arguments that I made last year on which of these should be in and out. And they haven't done anything to change their credentials, nothing has evolved (maybe Mr. Schilling was right) since last year, so no need to change my mind on any of them.

The newcomers:

Tony Clark - I remember the excitement of my 6 year old when he heard we had acquired Clark in the 2001-02 offseason. And why not? He was a reigning all-star and after a disappointing ending to the 2001 season, the Red Sox were ready to make a move in 2002. Well he didn't even slug .300 for us that year and luckily we kept Brian Daubach around to provide some pop from the first base position. No, Tony Clark is mainly remembered by Red Sox fans for two heart stopping at-bats in the 2004 ALCS: In Game 5, after the Red Sox had scored twice in the 8th to tie up the game, Clark came up to bat with Ruben Sierra on 1st base and 2 outs in the 9th. He hit a line drive to right field which would surely have scored Sierra from 1st, and as everybody at Fenway held their collective breath, it bounced over the short right field fence for a not-ground-rule double, holding Sierra at 3rd. Everybody at Fenway was able to breathe again, and then Miguel Cairo popped out to 1st base to end the threat.  (side note: This game was over 10 years ago and I remember it like it was yesterday. Thank you again 2004). The very next day he came up to bat in an even more potentially gut-wrenching situation. Bottom of the 9th, Sox leading 4-2. Two outs and two men on base. A home run by the Thermos would give the Yankees a walk-off Series win. Confession time: to this day I still have not watched that at-bat. The Boone scars were still fresh and I had to excuse myself from the room and find something else to do to stay occupied. All I know is that he did not hit a home run and the Red Sox won the game. Anyhow, I'm rambling, as I oft too when reminiscing about 2004. What am I writing about? Oh, yeah, is Tony Clark a Hall-of-Famer? No, no he's not. I could go look up some stats to make the case that he was barely above mediocre throughout his career, but you already know that, nobody is seriously thinking of voting for him. NO

Cliff Floyd - He'll show up in my list of  Hall of Fame candidates with Canadian connections as he spent five season playing in La Belle Province for the Expos.  And he only called Fenway Park home for 2 months at the end of the 2002 season, but he did play like a Hall of Famer during that stretch. He slugged 561 and had an OPS+ of 142 after getting traded for Sunny-Woo Kim.  But nobody really remembers him as a Red Sox player.  He was a Marlin for 6 years and basically hit to a 300/400/500 slash line each season, as well as helping them win their franchise's first ever World Series. That's a pretty good sample of his career, but unfortunately he was barely above mediocre the rest of his career, compiling a 266/346/452 line throughout his other 11 seasons in the league. Even in a non-crowded ballot he wouldn't get a lot of attention. NO

Nomar Garciaparra- It hurts just talking about Nomah! By his 4th season in the league he had already compiled an unanimous ROY selection, 2nd place in MVP in his sophomore season, 600 slugging and batting title in his 3rd full year in the league, and had just come off a campaign where he batted .372. Hall of Fame? a first ballot no-doubter. The only question was who would be the idiots who wouldn't cast a ballot for him. But there is a reason voting for The Hall doesn't happen until after the end of someone's career. Ah, what could have been. Makes me sad even thinking about it. NO

Tom Gordon – Not many ballplayers can say that Stephen King wrote a book about them! He was an above average starter for the Royals, before the Red Sox signed him. After a couple of sub-par seasons in the rotation, he became a closer and had an all-star season, garnering 46 saves, with a  FIP of 2.45 and an ERA+ of 173. Like Tony Clark, Red Sox fans also remember him for what he did in the 2004 ALCS. In that same Game 5 mentioned previously, it was Gordon who gave up the two runs in the 8th inning that allowed the Red Sox to tie the game. Outside of Boston, he also had a couple of other all-star season as a closer later on in his career. And he might have been a bit underrated finishing his career with 138 wins and 158 saves. Off  top of my head, not many other pitchers beat both of those numbers. Eckersley for sure and maybe Smoltz (looked it up – Smoltz had less saves), can’t think of many more. He did have an above average career ending with a sub 4 era pitching mainly in the 90s and early 2000s.  But the Hall of Fame isn’t for above average players or it would be way more crowded than it is. Thank you for the memories, Flash. NO

Pedro Martinez – Really, I have to make a case here?? Spoiler alert, I'm voting for him. Definitely one of the greatest pitchers of all time, arguably the best ever.  Sandy Koufax? Please. If he had played in 2000 calling Fenway home, his career ERA would have been 3.74 using Baseball Reference’s neutralized pitching tool. Pedro in 2000? 1.74 in a league where the average ERA was above 5.00.  There were only five pitchers in the entire league with a sub 4 ERA. Pedro’s was the only one below 3.70 and it was almost 2 runs lower. And it wasn’t just one great season. He had a 7 year stretch starting in the heavily PED fueled 1997-2003 era with the following ERAs: 1.90, 2.89, 2.07, 1.74, 2.39, 2.26, 2.22. The lowest league average ERA during that time was 4.81.
Irritates me that a lot of people think the consensus is that Roger Clemens is the best pitcher of this generation. Clemens had a career ERA+ of 143, with a K:BB ratio below 3, peaking at 4.7. Not too shabby. Pedro’s ERA+ was 154 and his K:BB ratio was above 4, peaking at 8.9, and he ended his career with K/9 ratio of over 10.  Not only is that better than Clemens’ (8.5) but it’s higher than Nolan Ryan’s or any active starting pitcher’s. Do I really need to go on? Hopefully my readers knew he was a Hall of Famer before having to look at these numbers. YES

John Smoltz – Came to Boston towards the end of his career and started a handful of games, posting an ERA north of 8 before being released. But it’s not his time in Boston that will build his resume for Cooperstown, but rather the 20 previous seasons he spent in Atlanta.  And what a career he had there! Along with Greg Maddux and Tom Glavine, he was the third member of a dominant pitching rotation that got the Braves to the postseason 14 consecutive seasons. He had a five year stretch in the late 90s as an excellent starter. He was also a fantastic closer for  three straight years after returning from an injury. And then as a 38 year old he went back to starting and all he did the next 3 seasons is compile a 44-24 record with a 3.22 ERA. He finished with 213 wins and 154 saves in the 3+ years he was a closer and an overall ERA+ of 127, His case isn't quite as open and shut as his teammates', but he should get in. YES

My next post will cover the Canadian players and those that played in Canada.  Stay tuned....