July 17, 2014

Mid season update

Time to take a look and see how my opening day predictions look so far, and project the rest of the season.

Let's start with some highlights from the American League:
EAST: "they won't have any wildcard teams" - if the playoffs were today, both wildcard teams would be from the West, and the next team is in the Central
Boston - "86 wins". They have 43 wins at the all star break. 43 x 2 = 86. Just saying.
Tampa - "could drop all the way to 4th place". Hhmm... they're in 4th place.
Toronto - "bet they wish they still had Henderson Alvarez". Alvarez was just named to the All-Star team. After Buehrle, Dickey and Hutchison, the combined ERA of the rest of the Blue Jays starters is about 5.
Cleveland - "won't win more than 81 games". Exactly at .500 right now
Kansas City - "PLAYOFFS".  They're 2.5 games out right now.
Twins - "Yankees will wish they still had Phil Hughes". He has a 2.62 FIP. That's better than anyone in pinstripes. Even the 155 Million Dollar Tanaka.
Houston - "won't be the worst team in league in 2nd half". They weren't the worst team in the first half! Not even the worst team in their state.

National League:
CENTRAL: "Cincinnati and Milwaukee will remind St. Louis that there are still some competitive teams in this division. But Pittsburgh won't be one of them."  Only 1.5 games separate these 3 teams.
Cubs - "last place". Yeah, this one wasn't that tough.
Milwaukee - "Among most improved teams in baseball. Will contend for a wildcard spot." Well, if they don't win the division, I suppose they'll need to settle for the wildcard
WEST:  "Three team race with the Dodgers needing to hold off Arizona and San Francisco to repeat" 2 out of 3 ain't bad? 1 game separates LA and SF as we head into the 2nd half.
Colorado - "Morneau will like thin Denver air". He's having his best season since 2010.
San Francisco - "A good old Giants/Dodgers rivalry will be rekindled". So far looking good.

Also had my share of predictions that just look silly now. But I won't make too easy for you to mock me. You'll need to click on the link above and find them.

What does the rest of the season hold?
Detroit won't hold on to their 6.5 game lead and will fall out of first place at some point
Texas is going to get hot and make a bit of a run, but ultimately will fade
Seattle is going to make a big trade but they will fade shortly after that and end out of contention
Milwaukee will fall back and have to fight for a wildcard spot
Cincinatti will end up running away with Central

Four days without basesball is approximately four days too many.  Let's get the second half started already!

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