(By the way, this and all other columns will list players alphabetically)
Let me quickly start with players returning on the ballot. They are:
Jeff Bagwell (54% last year)
Roger Clemens (35%)
Curt Schilling (29%)
Lee Smith (30%)
No need to rehash the arguments that I made last year on which of these should be in and out. And they haven't done anything to change their credentials, nothing has evolved (maybe Mr. Schilling was right) since last year, so no need to change my mind on any of them.
The newcomers:
Cliff Floyd - He'll show up in my list of Hall of Fame candidates with Canadian connections as he spent five season playing in La Belle Province for the Expos. And he only called Fenway Park home for 2 months at the end of the 2002 season, but he did play like a Hall of Famer during that stretch. He slugged 561 and had an OPS+ of 142 after getting traded for Sunny-Woo Kim. But nobody really remembers him as a Red Sox player. He was a Marlin for 6 years and basically hit to a 300/400/500 slash line each season, as well as helping them win their franchise's first ever World Series. That's a pretty good sample of his career, but unfortunately he was barely above mediocre the rest of his career, compiling a 266/346/452 line throughout his other 11 seasons in the league. Even in a non-crowded ballot he wouldn't get a lot of attention. NO
Nomar Garciaparra- It hurts just talking about Nomah! By his 4th season in the league he had already compiled an unanimous ROY selection, 2nd place in MVP in his sophomore season, 600 slugging and batting title in his 3rd full year in the league, and had just come off a campaign where he batted .372. Hall of Fame? a first ballot no-doubter. The only question was who would be the idiots who wouldn't cast a ballot for him. But there is a reason voting for The Hall doesn't happen until after the end of someone's career. Ah, what could have been. Makes me sad even thinking about it. NO
Tom Gordon – Not many ballplayers can say that
Stephen King wrote a book about them! He was an above average starter for the
Royals, before the Red Sox signed him. After a couple of sub-par seasons in the
rotation, he became a closer and had an all-star season, garnering 46 saves, with
a FIP of 2.45 and an ERA+ of 173. Like
Tony Clark, Red Sox fans also remember him for what he did in the 2004 ALCS. In
that same Game 5 mentioned previously, it was Gordon who gave up the two runs
in the 8th inning that allowed the Red Sox to tie the game. Outside of Boston,
he also had a couple of other all-star season as a closer later on in his
career. And he might have been a bit underrated finishing his career with 138
wins and 158 saves. Off top of my head,
not many other pitchers beat both of those numbers. Eckersley for sure and
maybe Smoltz (looked it up – Smoltz had less saves), can’t think of many more.
He did have an above average career ending with a sub 4 era pitching mainly in
the 90s and early 2000s. But the Hall of
Fame isn’t for above average players or it would be way more crowded than it
is. Thank you for the memories, Flash. NO
Pedro Martinez – Really, I have to make a case here?? Spoiler alert, I'm voting for him. Definitely one of the greatest pitchers of all time,
arguably the best ever. Sandy Koufax? Please.
If he had played in 2000 calling Fenway home, his career ERA would have been
3.74 using Baseball Reference’s neutralized pitching tool. Pedro in 2000? 1.74
in a league where the average ERA was above 5.00. There were only five pitchers in the entire
league with a sub 4 ERA. Pedro’s was the only one below 3.70 and it was almost
2 runs lower. And it wasn’t just one great season. He had a 7 year stretch
starting in the heavily PED fueled 1997-2003 era with the following ERAs: 1.90,
2.89, 2.07, 1.74, 2.39, 2.26, 2.22. The lowest league average ERA during that
time was 4.81.
Irritates me that a lot of people think the consensus is that
Roger Clemens is the best pitcher of this generation. Clemens had a career ERA+
of 143, with a K:BB ratio below 3, peaking at 4.7. Not too shabby. Pedro’s ERA+
was 154 and his K:BB ratio was above 4, peaking at 8.9, and he ended his career
with K/9 ratio of over 10. Not only is
that better than Clemens’ (8.5) but it’s higher than Nolan Ryan’s or any active
starting pitcher’s. Do I really need to go on? Hopefully my readers knew he was
a Hall of Famer before having to look at these numbers. YES
John Smoltz – Came to Boston towards the end of his career and started a
handful of games, posting an ERA north of 8 before being released. But it’s not
his time in Boston that will build his resume for Cooperstown, but rather the
20 previous seasons he spent in Atlanta. And what a career he had there! Along with Greg Maddux and Tom Glavine, he was the third member of a dominant
pitching rotation that got the Braves to the postseason 14 consecutive seasons. He had a five year stretch in the late 90s as an excellent starter. He was also a fantastic closer for three straight years after returning from an injury. And then as a 38 year old he went back to starting and all he did the next 3 seasons is compile a 44-24 record with a 3.22 ERA. He finished with 213 wins and 154 saves in the 3+ years he was a closer and an overall ERA+ of 127, His case isn't quite as open and shut as his teammates', but he should get in. YES
My next post will cover the Canadian players and those that played in Canada. Stay tuned....
My next post will cover the Canadian players and those that played in Canada. Stay tuned....
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